Dan Hooker vs Gilbert Burns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record22-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach 71"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gilbert Burns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1738
If they lose-11→ 1714
If they win+11→ 1755
If they lose-13→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerGilbert Burns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hooker56%
Gilbert Burns 44%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 56% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Burns's way (47%).
Gilbert Burns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1725, a 19-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Burns 68%.
Dan Hooker carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.