Dan Hooker vs MarQuel Mederos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record12-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerMarQuel Mederos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hooker56%
MarQuel Mederos 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 56% favorite over MarQuel Mederos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans MarQuel Mederos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Hooker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, MarQuel Mederos 58%.
Dan Hooker carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.