Dan Ige vs Julio Arce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-12-0Record22-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71''Reach70"
165 lbsWeight147 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
Julio Arce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dan Ige carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1700
If they lose-11→ 1676
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan IgeJulio Arce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Ige60%
Julio Arce 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Ige a 60% favorite over Julio Arce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julio Arce's way (46%).
Julio Arce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1687, a 28-point edge.
Dan Ige enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.