Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record21-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71''Reach70"
165 lbsWeight147 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan IgeNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Julio ArceNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
56%
Strike defense
68%
0.89
Takedown avg.
0.46
26%
Takedown accuracy
29%
57%
Takedown defense
96%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Dan IgeJulio Arce
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
5 (26%)
Submission
5 (24%)
7 (37%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Julio Arce59%
Dan Ige 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 59% favorite over Dan Ige in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1703), separated by just 8 points.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.