Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Kevin Aguilar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1695Good
Kevin Aguilar
us

Kevin Aguilar

“The Angel of Death”

17-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71''ReachTBD
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLongview MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan IgeNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Kevin AguilarNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.89
Takedown avg.
0.16
26%
Takedown accuracy
17%
57%
Takedown defense
79%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan IgeKevin Aguilar
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
5 (26%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (37%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Ige70%
Kevin Aguilar 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Ige a 70% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1685), separated by just 10 points.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Aguilar 65%.

Dan Ige and Kevin Aguilar share 1 common opponent: Damon Jackson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Damon Jackson
WinKO (punch) · 2017