Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Lerone Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record17-1-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71''Reach73"
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

Lerone Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Dan Ige carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan IgeNow 1696
If they win+15→ 1711
If they lose-9→ 1687
Lerone MurphyNow 1791
If they win+12→ 1803
If they lose-20→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.93
Takedown avg.
1.41
3%
Takedown accuracy
54%
56%
Takedown defense
51%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Dan IgeLerone Murphy
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
5 (26%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (37%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerone Murphy79%
Dan Ige 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerone Murphy a 79% favorite over Dan Ige in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Lerone Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1791 to 1696, a 95-point edge.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Lerone Murphy 47%.

Dan Ige and Lerone Murphy share 1 common opponent: Movsar Evloev.

Lerone Murphy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Movsar Evloev
LossDecision (majortiy) · 2026