Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-0Record26-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71''Reach71"
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1702 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Dan Ige is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Melquizael Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1707
If they lose-13→ 1683
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-11→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan IgeMelquizael Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melquizael Costa60%
Dan Ige 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 60% favorite over Dan Ige in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Ige's way (48%).
Dan Ige holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1681, a 15-point edge.
Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.
Dan Ige and Melquizael Costa share 1 common opponent: Andre Fili.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.