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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-12-0WelterweightUFC

1687Good

Tale of the tape

19-12-0Record26-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71''Reach71"
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1704 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan IgeNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Melquizael CostaNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
45%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.93
Takedown avg.
2
3%
Takedown accuracy
41%
56%
Takedown defense
59%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Dan IgeMelquizael Costa
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
9 (35%)
5 (26%)
Submission
8 (31%)
7 (37%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Ige62%
Melquizael Costa 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Ige a 62% favorite over Melquizael Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1683), separated by just 4 points.

Dan Ige enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.

Dan Ige and Melquizael Costa share 1 common opponent: Andre Fili.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Andre Fili
WinSubmission · 2025