Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Mike Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record22-14-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71''Reach41,0"
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTop Notch Fitness

What's at stake

Dan Ige is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mike Santiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan IgeNow 1696
If they win+8→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1680
Mike SantiagoNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-8→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
56%
Strike defense
36%
0.93
Takedown avg.
2.66
3%
Takedown accuracy
50%
56%
Takedown defense
54%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Dan IgeMike Santiago
1600165017001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (26%)
Submission
11 (50%)
7 (37%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Ige79%
Mike Santiago 21%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Ige a 79% favorite over Mike Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Dan Ige holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1590, a 106-point edge.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mike Santiago 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.