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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Lauzon vs Lucas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Lauzon
us

Dan Lauzon

“The Upgrade”

17-6-0WelterweightCES

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach74.5"
170 lbsWeight150 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamBrazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan LauzonNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Lucas AlmeidaNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.54
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
29%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
1.98
Takedown avg.
Not available
43%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan LauzonLucas Almeida
165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
7 (41%)
Submission
7 (78%)
1 (6%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Almeida52%
Dan Lauzon 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 52% favorite over Dan Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Lauzon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Lauzon finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.