Dan Lauzon vs Lucas Brennan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight146 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamNext Generation MMA Frisco
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan LauzonLucas Brennan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Brennan70%
Dan Lauzon 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Brennan a 70% favorite over Dan Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Lauzon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Lauzon finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Brennan 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.