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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Lauzon vs Spencer Fisher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Lauzon
us

Dan Lauzon

“The Upgrade”

17-6-0WelterweightCES

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record24-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeam

What's at stake

Spencer Fisher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dan Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan LauzonNow 1638
If they win+17→ 1655
If they lose-15→ 1623
Spencer FisherNow 1653
If they win+11→ 1664
If they lose-13→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
29%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
62%
Strike defense
64%
1.98
Takedown avg.
0.67
43%
Takedown accuracy
30%
80%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Dan LauzonSpencer Fisher
16501700201020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
7 (41%)
Submission
9 (38%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Spencer Fisher59%
Dan Lauzon 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Spencer Fisher a 59% favorite over Dan Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Spencer Fisher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1638, a 15-point edge.

Dan Lauzon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Lauzon finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.