Dan Miller vs Joe Doerksen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record51-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamCanadian Fighting Centre
What's at stake
Joe Doerksen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dan Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1672
If they win+11→ 1723
If they lose-13→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan MillerJoe Doerksen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Miller60%
Joe Doerksen 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Miller a 60% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Doerksen's way (46%).
Joe Doerksen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1687, a 25-point edge.
Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Dan Miller finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joe Doerksen 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.