Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Miller vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dan Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan MillerNow 1687
If they win+18→ 1705
If they lose-14→ 1673
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+10→ 1751
If they lose-14→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
36%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
50%
Strike defense
65%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.05
55%
Takedown accuracy
43%
47%
Takedown defense
63%
1.77
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Dan MillerMichael Bisping
170017502014201520162017

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
9 (64%)
Submission
2 (7%)
4 (29%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping56%
Dan Miller 44%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 56% favorite over Dan Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1687, a 54-point edge.

Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Miller finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.