Dan Miller vs Rob Kimmons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record25-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamK2L Grindhouse
What's at stake
Dan Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Rob Kimmons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-20→ 1667
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan MillerRob Kimmons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Miller78%
Rob Kimmons 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Miller a 78% favorite over Rob Kimmons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Dan Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1589, a 98-point edge.
Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Miller finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rob Kimmons 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.