Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Molina vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
216 lbsWeight264 lbs
TBDTeamUniq Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MolinaNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan MolinaMarek Samociuk
1500155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
10 (77%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Samociuk62%
Dan Molina 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 62% favorite over Dan Molina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.

Dan Molina enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Molina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.