Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Molina vs Sean Sharaf

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Sharaf
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Sean Sharaf

“The Smoke”

4-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1543Average

Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
216 lbsWeight252 lbs
TBDTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MolinaNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
Sean SharafNow 1543
If they win+24→ 1567
If they lose-24→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
15
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.93
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan MolinaSean Sharaf
150015501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
10 (77%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Sharaf61%
Dan Molina 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Sharaf a 61% favorite over Dan Molina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Molina's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1543), separated by just 4 points.

Dan Molina enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sean Sharaf enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Molina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sharaf 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.