Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Moret vs Fabiano Iha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Moret
us

Dan Moret

“The Hitman”

16-8-0LightweightXFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MoretNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Fabiano IhaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
1.73
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
43%
Strike defense
43%
1.25
Takedown avg.
2.88
27%
Takedown accuracy
40%
45%
Takedown defense
50%
0.42
Submission avg.
2.88

Trajectory

Dan MoretFabiano Iha
1600200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
9 (56%)
Submission
7 (70%)
5 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabiano Iha57%
Dan Moret 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabiano Iha a 57% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Moret's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1611), separated by just 0 points.

Fabiano Iha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Fabiano Iha 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.