Dan Moret vs Gilbert Burns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record22-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach 71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gilbert Burns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dan Moret carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-8→ 1603
If they win+8→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan MoretGilbert Burns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Burns87%
Dan Moret 13%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 87% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Gilbert Burns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1611, a 135-point edge.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Burns 68%.
Dan Moret carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.