Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Moret vs Hafeni Nafuka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dan Moret
us

Dan Moret

“The Hitman”

16-8-0LightweightXFC

1611Solid
Hafeni Nafuka
na

Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-5-0LightweightOKMMA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MoretNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Hafeni NafukaNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
1.25
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.42
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan MoretHafeni Nafuka
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
9 (56%)
Submission
8 (67%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Hafeni Nafuka64%
Dan Moret 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 64% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Hafeni Nafuka 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.