Dan Moret vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dan Moret carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1614
If they win+10→ 1688
If they lose-14→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan MoretJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon67%
Dan Moret 33%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 67% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1628, a 50-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Dan Moret carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.