Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Moret vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Moret
us

Dan Moret

“The Hitman”

16-8-0LightweightXFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MoretNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
43%
Strike defense
59%
1.25
Takedown avg.
0.58
27%
Takedown accuracy
39%
45%
Takedown defense
81%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Dan MoretMichael Johnson
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
9 (56%)
Submission
2 (8%)
5 (31%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson60%
Dan Moret 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 60% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.