Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Moret vs Mickael Lebout

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Moret
us

Dan Moret

“The Hitman”

16-8-0LightweightXFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record23-12-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamObyfight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MoretNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Mickael LeboutNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
44%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
43%
Strike defense
54%
1.25
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
0%
45%
Takedown defense
60%
0.42
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan MoretMickael Lebout
16002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
9 (56%)
Submission
8 (35%)
5 (31%)
Decision
13 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Mickael Lebout58%
Dan Moret 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mickael Lebout a 58% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Moret's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mickael Lebout 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.