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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Severn vs Oleg Taktarov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Severn
us

Dan Severn

“The Beast”

101-19-7Heavyweight

1715Good

Tale of the tape

101-19-7Record17-5-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight210 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeamFreelance· 1573 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Dan Severn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Oleg Taktarov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan SevernNow 1715
If they win+10→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1701
Oleg TaktarovNow 1650
If they win+19→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan SevernOleg Taktarov
16501700175020082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

23 (23%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
54 (53%)
Submission
14 (82%)
24 (24%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Severn62%
Oleg Taktarov 38%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Severn a 62% favorite over Oleg Taktarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Dan Severn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1650, a 65-point edge.

Oleg Taktarov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Oleg Taktarov 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.