Dan Severn vs Paul Varelans
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
101-19-7Record9-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'8"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight300 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeam
What's at stake
Dan Severn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Paul Varelans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1721
If they lose-18→ 1697
If they win+25→ 1533
If they lose-7→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan SevernPaul Varelans
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Severn76%
Paul Varelans 24%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Severn a 76% favorite over Paul Varelans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Dan Severn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1508, a 207-point edge.
Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Paul Varelans 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.