Dan Severn vs Pedro Rizzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
101-19-7Record20-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight244 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Dan Severn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pedro Rizzo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
If they win+13→ 1686
If they lose-11→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan SevernPedro Rizzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dan Severn and Pedro Rizzo within a point of even.
Dan Severn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1673, a 42-point edge.
Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.