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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Severn vs Ruslan Shamilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Severn
us

Dan Severn

“The Beast”

101-19-7Heavyweight

1715Good

Tale of the tape

101-19-7Record18-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
253 lbsWeight207 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan SevernNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Ruslan ShamilovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan SevernRuslan Shamilov
160016501700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

23 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
54 (53%)
Submission
6 (33%)
24 (24%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Shamilov58%
Dan Severn 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Shamilov a 58% favorite over Dan Severn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Severn's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.

Ruslan Shamilov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Shamilov 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.