Dan Severn vs Sergey Bilostenniy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
101-19-7Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
253 lbsWeight262 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan SevernSergey Bilostenniy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergey Bilostenniy63%
Dan Severn 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 63% favorite over Dan Severn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Severn's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.
Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.