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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Severn vs Sergey Bilostenniy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Severn
us

Dan Severn

“The Beast”

101-19-7Heavyweight

1715Good

Tale of the tape

101-19-7Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
253 lbsWeight262 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeamRaty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan SevernNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Sergey BilostenniyNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan SevernSergey Bilostenniy
16501700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

23 (23%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
54 (53%)
Submission
1 (7%)
24 (24%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Bilostenniy64%
Dan Severn 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 64% favorite over Dan Severn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1716), separated by just 1 points.

Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.