Dan Severn vs Tank Abbott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
101-19-7Record10-15-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight250 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeam
What's at stake
Dan Severn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tank Abbott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1701
If they win+19→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan SevernTank Abbott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Severn62%
Tank Abbott 38%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Severn a 62% favorite over Tank Abbott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Dan Severn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1649, a 66-point edge.
Tank Abbott enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tank Abbott 90%.
Dan Severn and Tank Abbott share 1 common opponent: Cal Worsham.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.