Dan Sopa vs Dustin Pague
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record12-11-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight152 lbs
Olympus Martial Arts AcademyTeamDisciple MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan SopaDustin Pague
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Sopa56%
Dustin Pague 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Sopa a 56% favorite over Dustin Pague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1505), separated by just 0 points.
Dustin Pague 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.