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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Sopa vs Ryan MacDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Sopa
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Dan Sopa

“Cobra”

2-2-0BantamweightBTC

1505Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-Reach40.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Olympus Martial Arts AcademyTeamDisorderly Conduct

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan SopaNow 1505
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481
Ryan MacDonaldNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
Not available
Strike accuracy
29%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan SopaRyan MacDonald
150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (50%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Sopa51%
Ryan MacDonald 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Sopa a 51% favorite over Ryan MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan MacDonald's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1507), separated by just 2 points.

Ryan MacDonald 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.