Dan Stittgen vs Ebrahem Mahmoud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-9-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach75''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamDiesel Fighting Academy
What's at stake
Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Dan Stittgen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1479
If they lose-23→ 1431
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud67%
Dan Stittgen 33%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 67% favorite over Dan Stittgen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1454, a 17-point edge.
Dan Stittgen finishes 92% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.