Dan Stittgen vs Samuel Bily
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-9-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1478
If they lose-25→ 1430
If they win+25→ 1472
If they lose-23→ 1424
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan StittgenSamuel Bily
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily53%
Dan Stittgen 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 53% favorite over Dan Stittgen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Stittgen's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1455 vs 1447), separated by just 8 points.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Stittgen finishes 92% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.