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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Acacio vs Magomed Umalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-19-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AcacioNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Magomed UmalovNow 1537
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Daniel AcacioMagomed Umalov
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (41%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
13 (45%)
Decision
2 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Umalov51%
Daniel Acacio 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Umalov a 51% favorite over Daniel Acacio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Acacio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1537), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Acacio enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Magomed Umalov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Daniel Acacio finishes 55% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.