Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Acacio vs Randy Mboyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-19-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight157 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AcacioNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Randy MboyoNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel AcacioRandy Mboyo
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
4 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
13 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo84%
Daniel Acacio 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 84% favorite over Daniel Acacio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Acacio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Acacio enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Daniel Acacio finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.