Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Acacio vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-19-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
169 lbsWeight169 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AcacioNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel AcacioRustam Serbiev
155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
4 (14%)
Submission
4 (44%)
13 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Serbiev66%
Daniel Acacio 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 66% favorite over Daniel Acacio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Acacio enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Daniel Acacio finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.