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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Acacio vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-19-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight171 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AcacioNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Stephen CostelloNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Daniel AcacioStephen Costello
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (41%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (14%)
Submission
2 (33%)
13 (45%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Acacio and Stephen Costello within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Acacio enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Daniel Acacio finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.