Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Araújo vs Reece McLaren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record19-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonfim BrothersTeamBoonchu Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AraújoNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Reece McLarenNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel AraújoReece McLaren
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (47%)
2 (22%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Araújo62%
Reece McLaren 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Araújo a 62% favorite over Reece McLaren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Araújo finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Reece McLaren 68%.

Daniel Araújo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.