Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Araújo vs Victor Gabriel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record8-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Furao

What's at stake

Daniel Araújo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Victor Gabriel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel AraújoNow 1639
If they win+11→ 1650
If they lose-21→ 1618
Victor GabrielNow 1526
If they win+21→ 1547
If they lose-11→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Daniel AraújoVictor Gabriel
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Araújo52%
Victor Gabriel 48%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Araújo a 52% favorite over Victor Gabriel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Daniel Araújo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1526, a 113-point edge.

Daniel Araújo finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Victor Gabriel 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.