Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record12-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamDouble Five Mid Cities
What's at stake
Victor Altamirano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Daniel Barez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1613
If they lose-14→ 1581
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-18→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel BarezVictor Altamirano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Barez51%
Victor Altamirano 49%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barez a 51% favorite over Victor Altamirano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Altamirano's way (44%).
Victor Altamirano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1595, a 41-point edge.
Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Barez finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Victor Altamirano 50%.
Daniel Barez and Victor Altamirano share 1 common opponent: Carlos Hernandez.
Victor Altamirano carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.