Daniel Barrera vs Emiliano Calderón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record4-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel BarreraEmiliano Calderón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Emiliano Calderón63%
Daniel Barrera 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Emiliano Calderón a 63% favorite over Daniel Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Barrera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1551), separated by just 0 points.
Daniel Barrera enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Emiliano Calderón 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.