Daniel Cormier vs Francis Ngannou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
72"Reach83"
251 lbsWeight257 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1852
If they lose-16→ 1820
If they win+16→ 1856
If they lose-16→ 1824
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1746 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierFrancis Ngannou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Ngannou68%
Daniel Cormier 32%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Ngannou a 68% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1836 vs 1840), separated by just 4 points.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Francis Ngannou 95%.
Daniel Cormier and Francis Ngannou share 2 common opponents: Stipe Miocic and Derrick Lewis.
Francis Ngannou carries a 11-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.