Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Cormier vs Frank Mir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-3-0Record19-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach79"
251 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFrank Mir Gym

What's at stake

Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Frank Mir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel CormierNow 1823
If they win+6→ 1829
If they lose-18→ 1805
Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+18→ 1638
If they lose-6→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
55%
Strike defense
39%
1.83
Takedown avg.
2.02
45%
Takedown accuracy
40%
80%
Takedown defense
55%
0.42
Submission avg.
2.02

Trajectory

Daniel CormierFrank Mir
16001700180020192020

Win method breakdown

10 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
5 (23%)
Submission
9 (50%)
7 (32%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Cormier80%
Frank Mir 20%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Cormier a 80% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1620, a 203-point edge.

Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Frank Mir 78%.

Frank Mir carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.