Daniel Cormier vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record28-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
72"Reach84"
251 lbsWeight248 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Cormier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1855
If they lose-13→ 1823
If they win+10→ 1916
If they lose-14→ 1892
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones77%
Daniel Cormier 23%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 77% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1906 to 1836, a 70-point edge.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Daniel Cormier and Jon Jones share 2 common opponents: Stipe Miocic and Alexander Gustafsson.
Jon Jones carries a 12-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.