Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Cormier vs Jon Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jon Jones
us

Jon Jones

“Bones”

28-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1916Elite

Tale of the tape

22-3-0Record28-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
72"Reach84"
251 lbsWeight248 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Daniel Cormier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel CormierNow 1823
If they win+15→ 1838
If they lose-9→ 1814
Jon JonesNow 1916
If they win+9→ 1925
If they lose-15→ 1901

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1773 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
53%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
55%
Strike defense
64%
1.83
Takedown avg.
1.89
45%
Takedown accuracy
46%
80%
Takedown defense
95%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Daniel CormierJon Jones
18501900201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (45%)
KO/TKO
11 (39%)
5 (23%)
Submission
7 (25%)
7 (32%)
Decision
10 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Jones83%
Daniel Cormier 17%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 83% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1916 to 1823, a 93-point edge.

Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.

Daniel Cormier and Jon Jones share 2 common opponents: Stipe Miocic and Alexander Gustafsson.

Jon Jones carries a 12-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
LossTKO · 2019
WinKO/TKO · 2018
Stipe Miocic
WinTKO · 2024
WinDEC · 2015
Alexander Gustafsson
WinKO/TKO · 2018