Daniel Cormier vs Josh Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach78,0"
251 lbsWeight248 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josh Barnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1849
If they lose-19→ 1817
If they win+14→ 1792
If they lose-10→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierJosh Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Cormier60%
Josh Barnett 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Cormier a 60% favorite over Josh Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1836 to 1778, a 58-point edge.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.
Josh Barnett carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.