Daniel Cormier vs Patrick Cummins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record10-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
251 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Patrick Cummins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1828
If they lose-19→ 1804
If they win+25→ 1627
If they lose-7→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierPatrick Cummins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Cormier83%
Patrick Cummins 17%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Cormier a 83% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1602, a 221-point edge.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.