Daniel Cormier vs Sergei Pavlovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record21-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach84"
251 lbsWeight260 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1835
If they lose-12→ 1811
If they win+17→ 1826
If they lose-15→ 1794
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierSergei Pavlovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich72%
Daniel Cormier 28%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 72% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Cormier's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1823 vs 1809), separated by just 14 points.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Sergei Pavlovich 76%.
Daniel Cormier and Sergei Pavlovich share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.
Sergei Pavlovich carries a 12-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.