Daniel Cormier vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
72"Reach 80"
251 lbsWeight234 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Stipe Miocic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1849
If they lose-19→ 1817
If they win+19→ 1785
If they lose-13→ 1753
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1805 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stipe Miocic53%
Daniel Cormier 47%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes Stipe Miocic a 53% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Cormier's way (40%).
Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1836 to 1766, a 70-point edge.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Daniel Cormier and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Jon Jones.
Stipe Miocic carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.