Daniel Cormier vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-3-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
72"Reach 80"
251 lbsWeight234 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Stipe Miocic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1833
If they lose-14→ 1809
If they win+19→ 1784
If they lose-13→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel CormierStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Cormier54%
Stipe Miocic 46%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Cormier a 54% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1765, a 58-point edge.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Daniel Cormier and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Jon Jones.
Stipe Miocic carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.