Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Cormier vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-3-0Record21-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach75"
251 lbsWeight206 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel CormierNow 1823
If they win+9→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1808
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+21→ 1740
If they lose-11→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.83
Takedown avg.
0.50
45%
Takedown accuracy
29%
80%
Takedown defense
80%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Daniel CormierVolkan Oezdemir
17001750180018502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (45%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
5 (23%)
Submission
2 (10%)
7 (32%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Volkan Oezdemir57%
Daniel Cormier 43%Elo baseline: 35%

The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 57% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Cormier's way (35%).

Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1719, a 104-point edge.

Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Cormier finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Volkan Oezdemir carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.