Daniel Jolly vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rubicon Fight SportTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Daniel Jolly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1510
If they lose-15→ 1478
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel JollyKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson60%
Daniel Jolly 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 60% favorite over Daniel Jolly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1493, a 16-point edge.
Daniel Jolly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Jolly finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.