Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Jolly vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Daniel Jolly
us

Daniel Jolly

“The Werewolf of Texas”

6-5-0Light HeavyweightFFC

1493Average

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rubicon Fight SportTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel JollyNow 1493
If they win+16→ 1509
If they lose-16→ 1477
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1497
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.32
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
2.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel JollyKarl Albrektsson
1500155020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (33%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Albrektsson54%
Daniel Jolly 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 54% favorite over Daniel Jolly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1497), separated by just 4 points.

Daniel Jolly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Jolly finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.