Daniel Jolly vs Mataeo Garner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
75,0"Reach70"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rubicon Fight SportTeamInferno MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1510
If they lose-15→ 1478
If they win+23→ 1530
If they lose-25→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel JollyMataeo Garner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mataeo Garner60%
Daniel Jolly 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Mataeo Garner a 60% favorite over Daniel Jolly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1507), separated by just 14 points.
Daniel Jolly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mataeo Garner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Jolly finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mataeo Garner 50%.
Daniel Jolly carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.