Daniel Kelly vs Patrick Walsh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
70,5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight258 lbs
Resilience Training CentreTeamWai Kru MMA
What's at stake
Daniel Kelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Patrick Walsh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1714
If they lose-19→ 1682
If they win+19→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel KellyPatrick Walsh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Walsh54%
Daniel Kelly 46%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Walsh a 54% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Kelly's way (41%).
Daniel Kelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1639, a 62-point edge.
Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Kelly finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Walsh 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.